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+171 Pips on USD/JPY: Learn How to Catch Big Moves Like This!


Video Transcript:

Hello everyone, it’s Dale here. Welcome to the next video from the recent trades section. In this video, I’d like to talk about a recent trade I had on USD/JPY. It was a swing trade, which means a long-term trade, and I execute these on daily charts. So, it’s not a quick in-and-out trade but one that takes longer to develop. Let’s check it out.

What you see before you here is the daily chart of USD/JPY. I do swing trading on the daily charts, which makes things a bit slower, but I don’t mind that. Anyway, what I want to show you is a short trade that I took from here. This was the resistance, and this is my short trade, right from here. As you can already see, it was a beautiful trade. But the reason I want to show you this particular trade is that there was a great combo, which you can also implement into your trading when you spot it in the charts.

Let me talk about the combo. The first part of this combo is a Volume Profile setup. Volume Profile is my main trading tool, so I want to mention the Volume Profile setup first. If you look at this strong downtrend area, you can see that there were heavy volumes traded here. You can also use the Volume Profile like this to look at a broader area, and it will still point you to this massive heavy volume zone. What happened was that after these heavy volumes were formed, there was a strong sell-off. As you can see, my short entry was here, at the beginning of that heavy volume zone. This heavy volume zone represents a place where sellers were active and adding their short positions. The beginning of that heavy volume zone is usually a place where the price likes to react—like this pullback and short from there. This is the Volume Profile setup that I like to trade.

Apart from this Volume Profile setup, there were also two other setups present at this level. The second setup was a Price Action setup. If you notice this reaction right here, the chart is telling us that this was a strong support level. It was strong in the past because the price made a significant reaction here. Then, the price moved past the support, and the support turned into resistance. This is a Price Action setup, and as you can see, it also aligns with the beginning of that heavy volume cluster right here. So, that’s a two-setup combo.

But we don’t stop there—there’s one more setup in play. This setup is based on VWAP, or more specifically, on the first deviation of the VWAP. This gray line is the first deviation of the VWAP, and at this level, it aligns with the other two setups I showed you. So, we have a place where three independent trading setups converge, and all three of them indicate strong resistance. This makes it an ideal place to go short. As you can see, the price hit the high of the day and reacted beautifully right here.

Now, let’s talk about the take profit and stop loss, as these are also important. The stop loss was placed in a low-volume zone, right here. The reason I like to place stop losses in low-volume zones is that this heavy volume zone should act as a barrier. This whole zone is a barrier, and the price shouldn’t move past it. If it does, then the trade is invalid, and you take the stop loss. Above this level, there is a low-volume zone, and if the price reaches that, there’s nothing stopping it from shooting higher and higher. That’s why the stop loss was placed in a low-volume zone.

Take profit, on the other hand, should be in a heavy volume zone. Let me use another Volume Profile here to show you. There was this heavy volume zone—I went short from here and took profit in this heavy volume zone. The reason is that a heavy volume zone can act as a barrier, potentially causing a reaction. When you are in a short trade, you don’t want to risk the price reversing against you. Instead, you want to take profit and be done with the trade. That’s why the take profit was placed here, and that’s why the stop loss was placed there.

This was the trade entry. As you can see, this was a trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1. I’m quite fine with that. In my trading, I aim for a risk-reward ratio in the range of 1:2. So, that’s about it for this swing trade on USD/JPY.

If you’re interested in learning more about Volume Profile trading, head over to my website at Trader-Dale.com. If you click the button that says Trading Course & Tools, it will take you to a page where you can browse my trading education and custom-made indicators. If you’re interested in day trading with me and other prop firm traders every day in a live trading room, click the Funded Trader Academy button. Here, you can book a one-on-one call with us, where we’ll walk you through the Funded Trader Academy and help you decide if it’s right for you.

Alright, that’s all for now. Thanks for watching the video—I hope you liked it! I’ll be looking forward to seeing you next time. Until then, happy trading!

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