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Video Transcript:
Hello everyone, it’s Dale here with a new weekly trading ideas video. Today we are going to look at the EUR/USD, then the AUD/USD, and finally the USD/CAD. Before that, just a very quick note about a back-to-school sale which I’m currently running on my website. If you look here, this is my website, trader-dale.com. And if you click this button, “Trading Course and Tools” it will take you to the page where you can get the back-to-school discount. It’s valid until Friday, the 5th. If you scroll down a bit, you can get the Volume Profile Pack, the Order Flow Pack, the VWAP Pack, and the Smart Money Pack at a discounted price. You can buy them separately, or scroll further down and get a bundle of all four packs together for only $697. This offer is valid until the end of the week.
All right, now let’s go to the charts. What you see before you is the EUR/USD 30-minute chart on the NinjaTrader 8 platform, where I’m using my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators. On this chart, I want to show you two strong support levels I’m planning to trade. The higher one is at 1.1664 and the lower one is at 1.1644. Let me explain the reasoning behind them. Starting with 1.1664, you can see a strong rejection of lower prices here: the market first moved downwards and then aggressively upwards. That’s a clear rejection of lower prices. Within this rejection, heavy volumes were traded, as shown on the Volume Profile. This tells us buyers were active here, placing most of their long positions before pushing the price up. This makes the level important. It’s also the heaviest volume peak in this cluster, confirming its strength. Another factor adding to its strength is that this whole area was a massive volume zone in the past. So, if there’s a pullback, it’s likely buyers will defend this level again. That’s why I want to go long here.
The second level is at 1.1644. This heavy volume zone tells us that buyers were active in the uptrend, pausing here to accumulate more longs before pushing the price higher. So, this is another important zone. If the price pulls back, I expect a reaction here as well. My ideal scenario would be a pullback to the first level with a reaction, and then another pullback to the second level with a reaction. Those are my plans on the EUR/USD.
Now let’s switch over to the AUD/USD. This is also a 30-minute chart, and we have similar setups here because the price is trending like on the euro. Using the Volume Profile highlights significant levels. The first long setup is at 0.6531. You can see why: there’s a clear rejection of lower prices, just like on the euro. Within that rejection, a very strong volume zone formed. Buyers stepped in here and pushed the price up again. This level is also the beginning of a Fair Value Gap, which my software automatically highlights. So, we have both a heavy volume zone and a Fair Value Gap aligning here, making it a perfect spot for a long trade if we get a pullback.
The second level is at 0.6515, based on another heavy volume zone. Again, in this uptrend, buyers paused here, added to their positions, and then pushed the price higher. If the price pulls back, buyers should defend this area and push it up again. That’s the battle plan for AUD/USD.
Finally, let’s check out the USD/CAD. On this 30-minute chart, the price action shows a strong rejection of higher prices. Buyers tried to push the market up, but sellers stepped in aggressively and drove it down. When there’s a rejection like this, I want to see heavy volumes near where the turn happened, because that shows where sellers entered. The level I’ve marked is 1.3766, at the beginning of a volume cluster and a bearish Fair Value Gap. These align perfectly, so if there’s a pullback, sellers are likely to defend this zone, and the price should go down from here.
One more thing: take a look at this weak low. Buyers didn’t step in aggressively, and the reaction was small and shallow. Markets like to test below such areas. So, my ideal scenario would be for the price to hit the resistance at 1.3766 and then go for that weak low.
Before I wrap up, I’d like to announce the winner of the contest from last week. The prize was my custom-made Volume Profile and VWAP indicators for TradingView. The winner’s name is now on your screen—congratulations! For next week, I’ll run another contest. To participate, just leave a comment below this video on YouTube, and I’ll randomly pick one person to win the set of custom-made indicators.
That’s it for today. Thanks for watching, and I look forward to seeing you next time. Until then, happy trading.
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